Economic updates
Our in-depth, independent reports cover the macroeconomic environment, the Saudi government’s annual budget, and Saudi Arabia’s monetary and financial developments, labor market, and inflation.
Royal decrees, regional unrest and the Saudi economy
Macroeconomic reportThe Middle East is going through a period of turmoil that is affecting the economies of all countries in the region, regardless of whether they have touched by unrest. In response, oil prices have shot up and foreign investors have become more cautious. At the same time, two royal decrees have been issued in the Kingdom that entail large new spending commitments.
Feature: Is the Saudi economy growing?
After examining the available evidence, we therefore think that the non-oil sector has been stagnant so far this year. We expect an improvement over the rest of the year as the effects of strong government spending flow through the economy. Nonetheless, we have cut our projection for non-oil growth and expect the economy as a whole to contract this year in real terms.
Feature: Saudi Arabia’s economic outlook for 2008
Macroeconomic reportWe expect economic performance to remain strong in 2008. Growth in the non-oil economy will pick up its fastest rate since the early 1980s and higher oil prices and production will cause the budget and current account surpluses to increase from already exceptionally robust levels. However, inflation is forecast to rise further.
Feature: New data highlight economic trends
Macroeconomic reportNewly published detailed economic data for 2007 highlights the strength of the Saudi economy last year and illustrates the challenges it faces over the next few years.
Feature: Impact of the weak global economy
Global economic conditions have deteriorated significantly and the outlook is uncertain. However, the internal momentum within the Saudi economy is sufficient that global economic conditions may affect the pace of growth, but will certainly not derail it.